Thursday, March 9, 2023

science beyond falsification

 

Does Science Lead to Certainty? The Problem of Induction ...

Most people define science as possible falsification. This is untrue as this essay shows. It is somewhat akin to the necessary modification definition of truth that is achieved by stating that correlations between processes of 5 sigmas define truth.

The future expected life of products also must be considered science. It is not enough that a seller of a product that fails its warrantee can claim failure of science as an excuse. Beyond that, consider

1. Bridges designed for a 500-year flood

2. Solar segments on a roof designed for 25-year life within 25 years under the usual climate

3. Batteries designed for a life of 150 years.

4. 1000 year era life with thymus fix that long

Common to all the examples so far is that one can define the process of future service as a valid science of estimates that is assumed to be accurate based on scientific deductions. That the service life will be similar to proven examples is only true in the scientific deduction. One can question that assumption based on sample size, etc. The belief that it will hold given an adequate sample is considered scientific deduction. The education may require failure testing in samples and partial testing of elements.

This must allow extrapolation. Extrapolation under constraints is an integral part of failure sciences that cannot be captured using falsifiability. Even potential falsifiability. What does it mean to be potential immortality, No way of testing that is possible. But an object can be defined as having truly infinite life by being repaired every time a part is damaged, even all parts at once.

Part of the entity may be information. Usual redundancy-based techniques will have to be used on total failure, but the information can be viewed as another part. Such an entity never dies. The life science here is not falsifiable, even though generalizing to potential falsifiability. 

The statement 'thymus fix leads over to the 1000-year life" is well-formed and falsifiable, as is the fact that I believe it. And one does not need needs to test it before 1000 years.

Science is falsifiable or validly extrapolationable.

No comments:

Post a Comment