Friday, May 8, 2020

D vitamin


https://www.foxnews.com/science/vitamin-d-levels-covid-19-mortality-rates

Abstract Background Large-scale data show that the mortality of COVID-19 varies dramatically across populations, although the cause of these disparities is not well understood. In this study we investigated whether severe COVID-19 is linked to Vitamin D (Vit D) deficiency. Method Daily admission, recovery and deceased rate data for patients with COVID-19 from countries with a large number of confirmed patients (Germany, South Korea (S. Korea), China (Hubei), Switzerland, Iran, UK, US, France, Spain, Italy) as of April 20, 2020 were used. The time-adjusted case mortality ratio (T-CMR) was estimated as the number of deceased patients on day N divided by the number of confirmed cases on day N-8. The adaptive average of T-CMR (A-CMR) was further calculated as a metric of COVID-19 associated mortality in different countries. Although data on Vit D level is not currently available for COVID-19 patients, we leveraged the previously established links between Vit D and C-Reactive Protein (CRP) and between CRP and severe COVID-19, respectively, to estimate the potential impact of Vit D on the reduction of severe COVID-19. Findings A link between Vit D status and COVID-19 A-CMR in the US, France, and the UK (countries with similar screening status) may exist. Combining COVID-19 patient data and prior work on Vit D and CRP levels, we show that the risk of severe COVID-19 cases among patients with severe Vit D deficiency is 17.3% while the equivalent figure for patients with normal Vit D levels is 14.6% (a reduction of 15.6%). Interpretation Given that CRP is a surrogate marker for severe COVID-19 and is associated with Vit D deficiency, our finding suggests that Vit D may reduce COVID-19 severity by suppressing cytokine storm in COVID-19 patients. Further research is needed to account for other factors through direct measurement of Vit D levelsThe researchers also found a strong correlation between vitamin D levels and cytokine storm, which is a hyperinflammatory condition caused by an overactive immune system.

"Cytokine storm [ why kids die] can severely damage lungs and lead to acute respiratory distress syndrome and death in patients," Ali Daneshkhah, a postdoctoral research associate at Northwestern's McCormick School of Engineering, said in a statement. "This is what seems to kill a majority of COVID-19 patients, not the destruction of the lungs by the virus itself. It is the complications from the misdirected fire from the immune system."

Arya

1. Eating d3 as part of [k2, d3, ca]
2. explains low rates in india/africa etc high italy, france, usa etc because melatonin - we brown/black
3. anyway good although osteo-porosis/penia common from lack of ca and no k2 in diet like chinese or japanese, adding d good as overdose NOT a problem - just wasted money and d cheap

Tuesday, May 5, 2020

FALSIFIABLE Creation theory



(Falsifiable = Scientific) theory of creation

It is possible to create theories of unfalsifiable creation for morons, about 90% of people, the remainder being agnostic, if not stated atheists. All human cultures have done so. Can there be a theory of creation which is testable? I believed not possible and delved into Cosmogonies (many) that at least looked like science in the limit - top being strings (now branes) and LCQ where every thing is quantized, space and time too. Both lead to rigorous deductions but alas are unfalsifiable IE not science. Both postulate a multiverse.

But Lee Smolin changed that - a very boring speaker with the first falsifiable theory. The standards he sets are so high, that ALL other stories are small and stupid in comparison!

Is cosmological natural selection a theory? Yes, because it is testable. Whatever the theory, it has to meet these goals as per me -

1. Explain physical constants and their values
2.  Physical laws and their genesis
3. How is the theory falsifiable and why not falsified already
4. Where did space, matter, time come from?
5. How does science arise in the limit?

If you have even of iota of doubt about these issues the rest of this write-up is a waste. If you are dumb enough to think that ANY theory of creation can answer these or is listed in any set of tomes, you are a hopeless gone-case and the rest is a waste of time. Only if you are a rational skeptic, not a rational Stoic like I was for 35 years, and think it can't be done without some belief, go on please.

The essential theory is based on evolution, carving the values of constants over eons till they reach a universe which has human life; other beings find their sets in the multiverse. Because space and time are created in big bang in all universes, there is no problem of all universes share or not the same space-time, or not!

The Key to magic in the Smolin model is black holes in the chain that leads to us. Moment a black hole forms, it is provably cut off the parent! It is not magic but the derivable consequence of collapse of large stars. All matter that falls in a black hole falls to its center. When two black holes approach each other, their mutual dance leads to an eventual merge. More mass for center of joint new black hole.

 How does science arise in the limit?

It need not as Sir Smolin's theory assumes no new science and is consistent with current science.

Does Arya agree?

There is a hole, why did compaction at the center bounce to produce a new big bang?
I postulate new quantum physics with a maximum space density equivalent. When the density limit is exceeded, you get a bounce IE new big bang. Left for undone physics of quantum gravity.

Where did space, matter, time come from?

Time appears to be universal. Space-time appears to be emergent from quantum gravity
QG and not fundamental.

Explain physical constants and their values


Physical laws and their genesis evolution, death and rebirth cycle are postulated (for QG) to be slightly different per finite cycle. A chain of finite sized universe, each a black hole,  exists for our universe. Amount of matter per universe grows (likely) till the current universe which will never collapse! All the former parents may have finite lives or not, black holes must merge to our mass in the chain.

How is the theory falsifiable and why not falsified already

The universe of beings in our universe must have sentient life to subject the universe to logical and falsifiable evidence  tests IE scientific inquiry. Such a universe will likely produce life (at 13.7 billion years) ONLY IF IT IS ABOUT as common as the average composition of the universe. At this time, most stars made from big bang materials (First generation) stars have died (mostly H & He) after fusion to iron. Stars die in explosions,  in turn spreading their guts in their galaxy. In turn galaxies merge to become larger, as did Milky Way. Clusters of enriched gases had one with the solar system. Evolution produced life in one that was called the Solar system on a planet called earth.

It is falsifiable because it claims similarity in chemical constituents of universe and life. Every part of the story can be checked by astronomy which has components far away in time too. It has not been falsified already because quantum gravity has never developed despite the best human efforts.

God was never invoked in this narrative. Pointless to argue about unneeded deity. This world has a billion nonbelievers and does fine. Deity not needed for ethics. Explains my agnosticism - deity not needed, ALL believers without science (IE rational skeptic falsifiable) are stupid since 2020.

Excellent hour+

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fORZASxZMEQ&feature=youtu.be&fbclid=IwAR1_U6_sG46MJBU1zDUaZOcyx90PJyQO_DPNzW0DU-Aj-1jU0C3U9OQpJHY

Sir Smolin says.


Tuesday, September 3, 2019

Epistemology or What is true versus belief

Latest https://www.wikiwand.com/en/Epistemology

Two concepts are belief and truth. A counter case to belief is considered a mistake, the counter case to truth causes a revolution.

It is central to all discussions – people who disagree on axioms cannot usefully discuss unless the differences are irrelevant Showing irrelevance of difference is far more potent healer than endless arguments on establishing an accuracy of some axioms over others.

A truth is a necessary infallibly justified belief. Necessity separates all accidently true belief.

A justification is in terms of lower truths, hence you have infinite regress problem of continuous why? One sane way is to stop at some foundation. Another is “by evolution from big bang, details not known”. Another is admitting cycles. Infinitism says ”Infinite but I stop here for practical grounds”. Or you can drive the quizzer crazy by going into infinite loop yourself. In foundherentism, you finesse between foundationalism and circularity.
  • A priori knowledge is a knowledge that is known independently of experience (that is, it is non-empirical, or arrived at beforehand, usually by reason). It will henceforth be acquired through anything that is independent to experience.
  • A posteriori knowledge is a knowledge that is known by experience (that is, it is empirical, or arrived at afterward).

There is a distinction between "analytic" and "synthetic" propositions. Some propositions are such that we can know them to be true just by understanding their meaning. For example consider, "My father's brother is my uncle." We can know it to be true solely by virtue of our understanding what its terms mean. Philosophers call such propositions "analytic." Synthetic propositions, on the other hand, have distinct subjects and predicates. An example would be, "My father's brother has black hair."
As a matter of aaquantum-stoicism, the following are rejected whenever cost-possible. They do increment belief.
  1. Tradition
  2. Actions of greats
  3. Advice of greats
  4. Rules devised by greats
  5. Unexperimentable history
  6. Respectable tomes
  7. Religions
  8. Interpretations of greats
Acceptable truth is
  1. deductive truths from accepted axioms
Conditional Belief, usable as truth, absent trustworthy counterexamples, is
  1. High-sigma statistical truth (Legal to conclude swans are white unless reliable testimony of black swan, disprove costs must be below threshold from theory by tolerable people)
Central epistemology of aaScience is rational scepticism RS within rational stoicism for cost reasons. The reason for statistical RS or rational stoicism is cost – time or otherwise – but RS is not applied fairly but by expected fraud as a private citizen. It requires non-discriminatory rules to reduce costs by a public citizen.

Healthier Increased Lifespan

 

Healthier Increased Lifespan

My collection. More will follow if enough +ve reviews, one char +/- ok but must!
Who lives longer?

The Rich Have More Of Everything -- Including Lifespan

when can you expect 150 year lifespan?

All will be helped. Longevity' Could Reach Billions In 2019 - And Is No Longer Just The Preserve of Billionaires

150 years - 'Extraordinary' Breakthroughs In Anti-Aging Research 'Will Happen Faster Than People Think'


Will you live longer if you come from a family who have lived long lives?
Researchers found that seven conditions were significantly less common for siblings in a long-lived family, than for similarly aged controls:
· Alzheimer's,
· Hip fracture,
· Diabetes,
· Depression,
· Prostate cancer,
· Heart failure,
· Chronic kidney disease.

Living too long

The current focus of medical research on increasing the quantity, rather than the quality, of life is damaging our health and harming the economy

Sunday, August 25, 2019

Claim on Proxima Centauri B

14372349_10154431225441772_3034347380040064037_o
latest https://wordpress.com/post/arunkumararya.wordpress.com/560
When it comes to planets outside our solar system, astronomers realize they only know the properties of the planets they discover as well as they know the properties of the stars these planets orbit:http://go.nasa.gov/2cS9xWY
Image composition of ESO observatories
A planet, in a habitable zone, in the nearest star to earth, namely Proxima Centauri has been discovered bare 25 trillion miles away. The star is about 4 light-years away. Journey to it will require only 10-15 years in the 22-century ships. Hard but doable, within communication range of concrete achievement of my faster-than-light design of communicator, only gedankan today. In line with tradition, I call it Proxima Century b.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OTa4J9Tr0KE&feature=youtu.be&t=2100
Hence I lay claim to its ownership, minerals, and sky wealth in the name of aaquantum-stoicism https://wordpress.com/post/arunkumararya.wordpress.com/333 or in

https://wordpress.com/post/arunkumararya.wordpress.com/350

And wish the best to intrepid celestial space person who would make my dream come true.

https://www.facebook.com/cnninternational/videos/10154417206379641/

Faster-than-light communication is possible using existing principles consistent with no-go theorems of quantum mechanics. This seeming impossibility is resolved by non-material information. No material object can go faster than light, Entanglement speeds are at least trillion feet per second, vastly greater than light. A famous no-go theorem says nothing material can signal at greater speeds than light since the spooky correlations can only make sense with respect to classically transmitted bits. So frustrated are the quantum physicist that says one, “The universe seems to like talking to itself faster than the speed of light,” said Physicist Steinberg. “I could understand a universe where nothing can go faster than light, but a universe where the internal workings operate faster than light, and yet we’re forbidden from ever making use of that at the macroscopic level — it’s very hard to understand.

To that I say - information in material form - yes, but information as a computed result - may go faster than light! When recursive Zeno games are played by two Mach-Zehnder interferometers instantiated from an entangled pair of particles, the same answer is delivered in two places, even a galaxy apart! Information, not dependent on materials, may be exchanged as a result of games on entangled particles!

The idea is simple enough. Particles are entangled. They are manipulated at the sender end so that games instantiated by them yield the answer of the bit to be sent. The receiver side computes the answer using entangled partners. The Principal problem is in the decay of entanglement over time! Mach-Zehnder interferometers are useful in that they can convert information into delays.
http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?

q=cache:http://www.upscale.utoronto.ca/GeneralInterest/Harrison/MachZehnder/MachZehnder.html&gws_rd=cr&ei=9KjTV4LzO8n9vgTBtobQAw

Faster than light – A gedanken experiment

It is so simple that I prefer to publish it in the hope that someone will point out my mistake, for the claim is biggest ever, communication faster than light.

When games are played by two Mach-Zehnder interferometers instantiated from an entangled pair of particles, the same answer is delivered in two places, even a galaxy apart! Information, not dependent on materials, may be exchanged as a result of games on entangled particles! The no-go theorems are well-proved and cannot be replaced by sane sci fi. They have to be side-stepped by encoding information non-materially.

The idea is simple enough. Particles are entangled. They are manipulated at the sender end so that games instantiated by them yield the answer of the bit to be sent. The receiver side computes the answer using entangled partners. The Principal problem is in the decay of entanglement over time! Mach-Zehnder interferometers are useful in that they can convert information into delays and or phase differences.

Following is a Mach-Zehnder Interferometer. Green is mirrors. Blue are half silvered mirrors.

machzehnder
Nothing reaches 2. Point is that i/2 light goes each way. The two paths to 2 suffer destructive interference while at 1 you get constructive interference. Now suppose you put s minute phase change before the first mirror. No interferences are complete and you can measure the phase properties by simple ratio of two intensities. Let us assume that phase 0 is 0, and 1 is 45 degree. AT sender, particles are introduced in bits order. One consequence is that right entangled particles are introduced by themselves at receiver end. The information is obtained from the ratio.

Sunday, August 18, 2019

Super thesis


Every thing has changed ever since I discovered the magic way to change the paradigm of science itself! Remember that a paradigm shift makes the current greats irrelevant in the new world, with a disruptive change. Absent humour, what I say means irrelevance of current greats and new better science, called the 21st century science! What is different is the math - calculus is replaced by stochastic calculus - ito and stratonovich calculus. Apart from science, so will change economics and social science. Already it shows up in Finance as Black–Scholes model. Fundamental is time and stochastic integration. Surprisingly, normal quantum mechanics and economics are time free. Relativity is time based. The failure of unifying GR with QM in last 100 years, despite efforts of all the Nobel laureates including Einstein is due to time difference - time is not fundamental but a synthetic emergent concept without physical reality. Statistical time is from 2nd law of thermodynamics.

Gravity has gone through these paradigms - empirical (none). attraction of center of masses (newton), curvature of space (Einstein), thermodynamic (Verlinde).